Wednesday, November 30, 2011

2011 Week 13 Fantasy Advice

Did you have a good Week 12? We are getting very close to the fantasy playoff season, and when that comes around, you need all the momentum you can get. Having a high seed helps too. For some, this is the most important week on the fantasy calendar, so be ready.

Who to Start:

QB Matthew Stafford (DET) vs. NO: He's been up and down all season, but this week he has a favorable matchup against a Saints secondary that doesn't have much going for it right now. They don't force many turnovers, and they allow a ton of yards. Stafford should have a big game in a shootout.

RB LeGarrette Blount (TB) vs. CAR: The Panthers have been awful this season against the run, and Blount has really started an upswing starting in Green Bay and continuing in Nashville last Sunday. He should continue his momentum upward this week.

WR Jordy Nelson (GB) vs. NYG: He's now pretty much an every week start now, isn't he? With the Giants defense banged up and looking pretty awful, Nelson should exploit matchups against rookie linebackers and bad corners, so he should have a big game for the undefeated Pack.

WR Eric Decker (DEN) vs. MIN: When Tim Tebow throws the football (not often), Decker is the main target. He has scored a TD in 4 straight games when Tebow has thrown a TD pass. The Vikings secondary is very bad, so Decker may have another big game.

TE Fred Davis (WSH) vs. NYJ: He may be one of the biggest fantasy successes you don't know a whole lot about. He has been racking up points this season, and it does help that he will be facing one of the worst teams defending the Tight End in the Jets.

DEF New England vs. IND: The Colts are starting Paul Justin Dan Orlovsky against the Pats on Sunday. Wasn't he on the last team that went winless in a season? Oh yeah. The Pats D will come up big on Sunday.

Who to Sit:

QB Carson Palmer (OAK) vs. MIA: He's been lighting the world on fire since he took over the Raiders starting QB job; he's 3-1 as a starter. However against Miami, he may struggle because the Dolphins have been playing much better of late, especially in the secondary.

RB Jackie Battle (KC) vs. CHI: He has had scattered big games throughout the season in the absence of Jamaal Charles, but he's losing favor to Thomas Jones and Dexter McCluster fast. It doesn't help that the matchup against the Bears is not at all favorable.

WR Stevie Johnson (BUF) vs. TEN: Even if he doesn't (fake) shooting himself in the foot on Sunday, he won't have success against Cortland Finnegan, who has quietly been one of the best man-to-man cover corners in the NFL this season. He enjoyed Revis Island, but a trip to Finnegan's may not be so pleasant.

WR Santana Moss (NYJ) vs. WSH: I hope he enjoys his trip to Revis Island this Sunday. I have a sneaking suspicion that he won't.

TE Greg Olsen (CAR) vs. TB: He has fallen of the face of the fantasy earth lately, and even though the Bucs don't defend the Tight End well, Cam Newton will likely look for other options in Tampa on Sunday more often.

DEF New York Giants vs. GB: Everyone saw what happened to the Giants defense on Monday Night in New Orleans, and their next task is to stop Aaron Rodgers. I smell a repeat performance in store for the Big Blue defense.

3 Super Sleepers:

QB Caleb Hanie (CHI) vs. KC: Despite his nature for turning over the ball often, he can run better than some QB's on the waiver wire right now. That should help his performance somewhat, so he may have a big game on Sunday.

WR Deion Branch (NE) vs. IND: He went all Super Bowl XXXIX on the Eagles last Sunday, and with his true success continuing to become a factor, he could have another big game against the hapless Colts on Sunday.

DEF San Diego vs. JAX MON: They have been a major disappointment all year, but they may finally have a good week against the Jaguars on Monday, who are dead last in the NFL in offense, despite making numerous and noted coaching changes this week.

Buyer Beware:

QB Eli Manning (NYG) vs. GB: Even though the matchup seems favorable, I'd be very weary of Manning on Sunday. The Packers force a ton of turnovers, and Eli has been doing that more often of late. He may get a ton of yards, but they may be garbage time yards, not meaningful ones.

Good Luck in Week 13!

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