Wednesday, October 21, 2015

2015 Week 7 Fantasy Advice

Did you have a good Week 6? Parity? What parity? There are five undefeated teams in the NFL today, and no winless teams. Parity at the bottom means that mediocrity is widespread, yet the power is concentrated mainly in the top six or seven teams in the league. What that means is up for you to decide, but with a fantasy week that sees three of those seven teams off on byes, depth will be tested, and so will your fantasy chops.


Who to Start:

QB Carson Palmer (ARZ) vs. BAL MON: He's been a staple at this part of the column all season, and that is absolutely going to continue against the Ravens, whose secondary has been torched by just about everyone, including a Colin Kaepernick that admits he doesn't make reads and a "revived" Josh McCown. With the Cardinals weapons, Palmer could be in for a big night.

RB Todd Gurley (STL) vs. CLE: As the next coming in the backfield, or the "revival" of the running back position, Todd Gurley has many expectations on his shoulders. But so far, he's met nearly all of them. Against the Browns, his stock could soar again considering how poor the Browns have been at stopping the run all season.

WR Jarvis Landry (MIA) vs. HOU: If Landry doesn't go low to try to break someone's leg (wrong side of the defense, sorry), he could have a massive day against the Texans despite some weary performances of late, including last week. The Texans defense has been incredibly poor, especially the secondary.

WR Martavis Bryant (PIT) vs. KC: While the matchup is incredibly favorable, the QB worries for the Steelers make this slightly less of a good play than it would have been otherwise, despite Landry Jones (!!!!!!!!) tossing him a TD against a far better defense in Arizona.

TE Charles Clay (BUF) vs. JAX LONDON: No matter who the QB is for Buffalo, Sammy Watkins is likely out and LeSean McCoy still isn't 100%. Clay has been Buffalo's best receiver this season, and the Jaguars have a knack for getting killed in the open field by Tight Ends, especially on short and underneath patterns. Clay could have a huge game, if you find out where to watch it, that is.

DEF Atlanta vs. TEN: Sure, the unit didn't look good against the Saints last Thursday, but the Titans offense has been stuck in neutral since their bye week and old Mett is returning under center, which means the Falcons defense likely rebounds in a big way.

Who to Sit:

QB Sam Bradford (PHI) vs. CAR: Coming into the season, Bradford was one of the best 2 QB options out there. His performances of late threw that status out the window, and even in Eagle wins he hasn't been that impressive. Carolina's defense is getting healthy, and Josh Norman is the best corner in football you don't know enough about. Bradford could be back to his early performances Sunday night.

RB Carlos Hyde (SF) vs. SEA THU: He's not only dealing with a bum foot on a short week, he's dealing with a Seahawks team that is probably fuming about the way they lost to Carolina. In a rivalry game, that motivation is probably as good as any, and could spell doom for Hyde and his fantasy owners.

WR Allen Robinson (JAX) vs. BUF LONDON: Whatever the term "leg contusion" ends up meaning, his matchup against the Bills is anything but pretty. Going up against the Bills has proven to be troublesome for opposing teams #1 receivers, which have included Odell Beckham, T.Y Hilton and A.J Green thus far this season.

WR Brandin Cooks (NO) vs. IND: Sometimes, you throw the matchup out the window and look at production as the determining factor in deciding whether to start or sit someone. In this case, Cooks has not produced at all this season, which means it is hard to trust him even against the Colts sieve of a secondary.

TE Heath Miller (PIT) vs. KC: The Chiefs despite their poor start have practically erased opposing Tight Ends from the stat sheets this season, which means even with a third string QB, normally the bat signal for fantasy tight ends, Miller is probably someone to avoid starting, even if you need a bye week replacement (which is likely).

DEF New York Jets vs. NE: They have one of the best reality and fantasy defenses in football. But despite that, it's incredibly hard to start them against the Patriots thanks to the matchup and history between these two teams.

Three Super Sleepers:

QB Drew Brees (NO) vs. IND: The shine has worn off on one of history's best fantasy QB's, hasn't it? But this week, if you're in the need for a bye week replacement, Brees could be an interesting play against the pathetic Colts secondary.

RB LeSean McCoy (BUF) vs. JAX LONDON: I'm honestly surprised he's a sleeper here, but his performances this season have merited it. But this week, his matchup against the Jaguars on the Wembley pitch is a positive one, especially since the Jaguars seemingly forgot how to defend the run and/or tackle recently.

WR Mike Evans (TB) vs. WSH: There might not be a bigger bust in fantasy football this season than Mike Evans. But this week in Washington, he's going up against a secondary that has been ravaged by injuries and is out of form, so he could kick start his season at long last.

Buyer Beware:

QB Ryan Tannehill (MIA) vs. HOU: The matchup against Houston is good, for sure, but it doesn't feel like Tannehill has taken the step to the next level that his contract would merit. Even though he could still have a great day, his recent play feels ominous.

Good Luck in Week 7!

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