Thursday, December 15, 2011

2011 Week 15 Fantasy Advice

Did you have a good Week 14? Everyone should be in fantasy playoffs territory right now, so it's all or nothing, which means these conflicts that you inevitably have right now are the toughest of the season. So, making the right picks is extremely important.

Who to Start:

QB Matthew Stafford (DET) vs. OAK: He had a big game last week against a very bad Vikings secondary, and this week, he goes up against an equally bad Raiders secondary. The Lions have to keep winning in order to make the playoffs, and it will mean a throwing clinic for Matt Stafford on Sunday.

RB Beanie Wells (ARZ) vs. CLE: The Browns are second to last against the run, which means Arizona will likely try to run the football no matter whether Red John Skelton or Kevin Kolb is starting. Beanie has had an up and down season, but this week looks like to be an up week.

WR Jordy Nelson (GB) vs. KC: With Greg Jennings out for the remainder of the regular season, and with the Packers still having something to play for, Nelson should have a big game against a Kansas City secondary that got torched by Mark Sanchez of all people.

WR Santana Moss (WSH) vs. NYG: The Giants have had their fair share of problems defending the pass this season, and that probably won't change this Sunday. Rex Grossman has played better of late, so Moss should have a big game this week.

TE Tony Gonzalez (ATL) vs. JAX THU: Gonzalez is having another career year, and he should continue that pace against a very banged up Jaguars defense that doesn't defend the Tight End very well.

DEF Cincinnati vs. STL: The Rams offense has simply been offensive to watch this season (see Monday Night as your example), and the Bengals defense has been a very surprising unit the season. This is a great combination for fantasy owners.

Who to Sit:

QB Alex Smith (SF) vs. PIT MON: He's been wildly inconsistent this year, and going up against the Steelers defense will not help his fantasy case at all. Don't start him unless you have no other choice.

RB Peyton Hillis (CLE) vs. ARZ: Madden Curse! Hooray!

WR DeSean Jackson (PHI) vs. NYJ: His fantasy production has been terrible of late, and this doesn't bode well for owners when he has to play the Jets defense next. He's a very risky play this week.

WR Anquan Boldin (BAL) vs. SD: He has not been very good at all this season fantasy wise, and with the Chargers defense enjoying a nice resurgence of late, especially in the last 3 games, he's a risky start this week.

TE Greg Olsen (CAR) vs. HOU: Despite his good game a week ago, he's not a good play this week against a Texans defense that has been very good against Tight Ends this season.

DEF Denver vs. NE: Even though the Broncos defense has been touched by Tebow, they will not have a good game against the high powered Patriots offense.

3 Super Sleepers:

RB Felix Jones (DAL) vs. TB SAT: In the absence of DeMarco Murray, Jones should have a good game against a Tampa Bay defense that gave up 41 points to a Jaguars team that hadn't scored more than 20 in a game all season.

WR Demaryius Thomas (DEN) vs. NE: He should have a good game against the terrible New England secondary, and who knows, he may have some good numbers in the first half too.

DEF Arizona vs. CLE: The Browns will likely be starting Seneca Wallace on Sunday, which is a good sign for  a resurgent Arizona defense this season.

Buyer Beware:

RB Frank Gore (SF) vs. PIT MON: Even though he's very tough to bench at this point in the season, he will surely have some struggles against the stout Steelers defense, even though the 49ers will likely try to run to establish the tempo on offense.

Good Luck in Week 15!

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