Wednesday, October 17, 2012

2012 Week 7 Fantasy Advice

2 points before we begin this column proper. One, this column had a higher hit rate than my Week 6 picks did (I went 5-9). 2, how the heck are we already at Week 7 already? This goes by too fast.


Who to Start:

QB Carson Palmer (OAK) vs. JAX: Despite the fact that Palmer himself gave away the game against Atlanta, he should have a good game against a Jaguars secondary without its free safety who is a major stabilizing influence, and that will have problems dealing with Oakland's speed.

RB C.J Spiller (BUF) vs. TEN: He is the most explosive playmaker on Buffalo's offense, and even though he is not top choice due to Fred Jackson's presence, he could have a big game against a Titans defense that has had major problems stopping the run.

WR Reggie Wayne (IND) vs. CLE: The Browns just gave Andy Dalton a career high in pass yards a week ago, and even with Joe Haden, they struggle to defend the pass. Wayne could have another huge day for the Colts at home.

WR Vincent Jackson (TB) vs. NO: He had a big week against the porous Kansas City secondary, and next up are the Saints whose secondary is still a sketchy spot. He could have another huge game if Josh Freeman cooperates.

TE Jason Witten (DAL) vs. CAR: The Panthers defense has been bad at defending Tight Ends so far this season, so Witten might have another big game going up against these linebackers.

DEF Minnesota vs. ARZ: The Cardinals offensive line is, and there is no other word for it, a sieve. With John Skelton now under center, the Vikings defense could have a big bounce back game at the homerdome on Sunday.

Who to Sit:

QB Matthew Stafford (DET) vs. CHI MON: The Bears defense has been absolutely ferocious this season, especially forcing turnovers, and with the Lions still struggling to hold onto the ball, especially Stafford himself, this is a start to avoid.

RB Shonn Greene (NYJ) vs. NE: I know that he just had a huge game against the Colts. But, if you would, please repeat the last 3 words. Now you know why he had that big game. The Patriots are much better at defending the run, so ground and pound might fizzle a bit this week.

WR Brandon Lloyd (NE) vs. NYJ: Despite the Jets having Revis Island washed up, Antonio Cromartie has been very good in his absence. He will force Brandon Lloyd to be uncomfortable, meaning Tom Brady might not get him the ball very often.

WR Michael Crabtree (SF) vs. SEA THU: My guess is that you should probably sit all of your 49ers receivers because of how good the Seahawks defense is. But Crabtree could truly be in for a bad night against the league's best pass defense.

TE Fred Davis (WSH) vs. NYG: Hard to believe, but the Giants defense has not yet surrendered a TD to opposing Tight End's this season. Due to that, Fred Davis could be in for a tough afternoon on the stat sheet.

DEF New Orleans vs. TB: Based on their first 5 games, I don't think this should come as a surprise to anybody.

3 Super Sleepers:

QB Joe Flacco (BAL) vs. HOU: This is the definition of a super sleeper. We know the Texans defense can be very good, but it did just get shredded last week. Flacco has been very good on the road this season, so he might attack the now vulnerable Jonathan Joseph early to build up some fantasy stats.

RB Felix Jones (DAL) vs. CAR: No DeMarco Murray for the Cowboys on Sunday means it's all on Felix Jones to carry the load. But, it might go well against a sketchy Carolina rushing defense.

DEF Oakland vs. JAX: Once again I dig deep into my bag of tricks for this one. They picked off Matt Ryan thrice last Sunday, and now they go up against the worst passing and scoring offense in football. If they can get a pass rush going, this could be a big day for that unit.

Buyer Beware:

WR Steve Smith (CAR) vs. DAL: Even though the Cowboys secondary struggled last week, they have only allowed one opposing #1 wideout to go into double digit fantasy points according to Smith might struggle on Sunday.

Good Luck in Week 7!

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