Wednesday, November 18, 2015

2015 Week 11 Fantasy Advice

Did you have a good Week 10? Fantasy football this season continues to confound the greatest thinkers in the land, and makes many of them look like the village idiot in the town square with a dunce cap on. But, unlike those village idiots, we keep trying to prove ourselves as smart people, and at least this week we have another chance to attempt to prove ourselves.


Who to Start:

QB Derek Carr (OAK) vs. DET: Don't let what the Lions did last week fool you, their defense is still pretty bad and has been ravaged by injuries, especially in the secondary. Carr has been playing lights out even against good defenses, so this matchup against the comparatively poor Lions defense should have fantasy owners salivating (other starts: Tony Romo, Matt Ryan, Matthew Stafford)

RB Lamar Miller (MIA) vs. DAL: Despite the Cowboys relative success at containing the pass, the same can't be said against the run. Miller has been inconsistent all season and at times has been quite hard to trust, but against this Cowboys defense that probably won't be the case at all (other starts: Charcandrick West, Chris Ivory, Darren McFadden)

WR Mike Evans (TB) vs. PHI: He has certainly had troubles with the drops this season (watching that Giants game is tough viewing), but if his hands aren't slicked with oil, he has a great chance at putting up a big stat line against the Eagles secondary, which has been torched consistently this season.

WR Sammy Watkins (BUF) vs. NE MON: The Patriots defense hasn't been as strong this season as one might have expected, and Eli Manning's Giants certainly were able to find some soft spots in that defense and took advantage of it. Watkins did not have a good game against the Jets last Thursday, but he should be able to rebound on Monday night (other starts: Brandon LaFell, Amari Cooper, Steve Johnson)

TE Delanie Walker (TEN) vs. JAX THU: He has been inconsistent all season on the stat sheets, but this matchup against the Jaguars is quite favorable. The Jags have struggled to defend Tight Ends this entire season and were dinged by the Ravens TE's quite a lot last Sunday, and Marcus Mariota will probably look their way quite a bit on Thursday night (other starts: Jordan Reed, Eric Ebron, Travis Kelce)

DEF Seattle vs. SF: They're angry, and playing Blaine Gabbert. Sign. Me. Up. (other starts: NYJ, ATL, OAK)

Who to Sit:

QB Jay Cutler (CHI) vs. DEN: He has been dynamite the last two weeks, even last week against a supposedly stiff Rams defense. The Broncos defense is going to be an even more formidable opponent, especially as Aqib Talib is back from his one game suspension, and Smoking Jay Cutler has to return at some point, right? (other sits: Russell Wilson, Joe Flacco, Kirk Cousins)

RB Justin Forsett (BAL) vs. STL: It's hard to sit him with the bye weeks and injuries around the league at the position, but he has struggled of late and the Rams defense has been stout against the run, only giving up 90.1 yards per game on the ground (other sits: Doug Martin, Melvin Gordon, Eddie Lacy (though he may now be a permanent sit)).

WR Randall Cobb (GB) vs. MIN: As the Packers offense has seemingly fallen off a cliff, so has the production of Cobb. The Vikings defense has been quietly stout this season, and has held Cobb to only 39.4 yards a game against them in five career games against the Vikings. It's hard to sit him, but his owners may have to bite the bullet here.

WR T.Y Hilton (IND) vs. ATL: Not only is Matt Hasslebeck tossing him the rock and not Andrew Luck, but the Falcons defense despite their issues has been pretty stout against the pass this season, so Hilton is a risky play even with the bye weeks and injuries that abound (other sits: Jeremy Maclin, Jordan Matthews, Kamar Aiken)

TE Vernon Davis (DEN) vs. CHI: So many thought his fantasy prospects would be revived with his move from San Francisco to Denver, and in fact nothing has changed at all. He's not only going up against a Bears defense that has been stingy against Tight Ends, but it's not Peyton Manning throwing him the ball on Sunday (other sits: Crockett Gilmore, Jordan Cameron, Charles Clay)

DEF Buffalo vs. NE MON: Even though Tom Terrific is now down Julian Edelman and Dion Lewis, he's going to find someone else to give the ball to and make a superstar. The matchup even then for the Bills defense isn't great on paper nor for fantasy owners alike (other starts: MIN, CIN, WSH).

Three Super Sleepers:

QB Carson Palmer (ARZ) vs. CIN: The matchup on paper isn't especially enticing, but Palmer has been a fantastic fantasy QB at home this season, and there's that little "the Bengals drafted me #1 overall in 2003 and I haven't played them since 2012 and I lost that game 34-10".

RB Frank Gore (IND) vs. ATL: Without Andrew Luck, it would not be a surprise if the Colts ran the ball more than usual. Atlanta's rush defense has been anything but stout this season, so Gore could have an uncharacteristically good game (this season, at least).

WR Tavon Austin (STL) vs. BAL: He's a sleeper because of the QB tossing him the magic bean and because the Ravens defense was actually really good against a far better offense last Sunday. But it doesn't figure to last and Austin could see his share of short passes to rack up some easy numbers.

Buyer Beware:

QB Andy Dalton (CIN) vs. ARZ: It's hard to bench him at this point in the season, but consider this: The Cardinals defense has been incredibly opportunistic this season, and Andy Dalton in primetime, as Monday night showed, is not a mix that really works together.

Good Luck in Week 11!

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