Wednesday, September 23, 2015

2015 Week 3 Fantasy Advice

Did you have a good Week 2? More than likely, if you like picking games as I do, your fantasy team did better than your picks did. Survivor pools all experienced mass death, our perception of up is now down, pigs are flying, dogs and cats living together... MASS HYSTERIA. Well, only kind of. Fantasy perceptions are changing rapidly too, so it might be best to keep up with the times.

Who to Start:

QB Russel Wilson (SEA) vs. CHI: This seems fairly obvious, especially considering Wilson was likely one of the first five QB's drafted in your league. But considering many QB matchups this weekend aren't the best, Wilson will have to suffice. It's become fairly obvious as well that the Bears pass defense is a glorified sieve, so Wilson could have a feeding frenzy in the Hawks home opener on Sunday.

RB Latavius Murray (OAK) vs. CLE: His early season numbers haven't been all that impressive, but going up against the Browns on Sunday should help improve that. Their rush defense has been poor to start the season, and Murray should get a decent chunk of carries to ease the pressure on Derek Carr in Oakland's first road game of this season.

WR Sammy Watkins (BUF) vs. MIA: While Tyrod Taylor still scares me at the QB position, Watkins might fight back against that this weekend playing against a Dolphins secondary that is constantly under threat since the front four can't rush the passer even remotely. Watkins also had success against Miami last season.

WR Jarvis Landry (MIA) vs. BUF: On the other side, the Bills secondary hasn't been nearly as good as the front four of Buffalo would suggest. Ryan Tannehill has also had two very solid games on the road to start the year. Landry could continue his breakout this week.

TE Heath Miller (PIT) vs. STL: He's still around, and not only is he still around, he's still doing his thing every week, like clockwork. And he's a free agent in most leagues. The Rams have not dealt with TE's particularly well to open the year, so Miller could be in for another big afternoon.

DEF Seattle vs. CHI: Another one that's obvious, but Jimmy Clausen. That is all.

Who to Sit:

QB Matt Stafford (DET) vs. DEN: Stafford's start to the season has been fairly emblematic of his entire career to this point, which doesn't bode well when he plays against the Broncos. Their secondary has been the best in football the first two weeks of the season, nevermind the fearsome pass rush.

RB Doug Martin (TB) vs. HOU: He wasn't even a great option to begin with, and the Texans have started off the season very strong against opposing running backs. He normally would only be good enough to merit flex consideration, but this weekend it's not even worth it.

WR Brandin Cooks (NO) vs. CAR: Not only will he be going up against Josh Norman, one of the NFL's best corners, he might be catching balls from Luke McCown and not Drew Brees, which should strike fear into the hearts of his fantasy owners everywhere.

WR Roddy White (ATL) vs. DAL: This is in no way a suggestion to sit Julio Jones, who will have his big day regardless of how good Dallas' secondary is, but White will have considerably more trouble producing. Even if Jones is somehow taken out of the game by Brandon Flowers, White's still not in line for a huge afternoon.

TE Zach Ertz (PHI) vs. NYJ: The Jets defense has been incredibly stingy to start the new season, and the Eagles offense has been...well...offensive. Even though Ertz has been the Eagles most targeted receiver once already, the Jets will probably take care of that without much incident.

DEF St. Louis vs. PIT: Le'Veon Bell is back for Pittsburgh. That's not good for the Rams, who looked rather pedestrian against a far worse Washington team last Sunday.

Three Super Sleepers:

QB Marcus Mariota (TEN) vs. IND: Even though I still think the Titans are not a good football team, and the more likely Mariota performance of his first two will be last week's edition instead of the Tampa one, the matchup against Indy isn't a terrible one. He's available in plenty of leagues too.

RB Jonathan Stewart (CAR) vs. NO: He hasn't been spectacular this season, but then again, neither has the Saints defense. Figure to see Stewart break out on Sunday.

WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARZ) vs. SF: His early season resurgence is somewhat surprising considering his diminished returns the past couple of seasons. But that should be easy to replicate against a 49ers secondary that was sliced and diced by Pittsburgh last Sunday.

Buyer Beware:

QB Andy Dalton (CIN) vs. BAL: Good start aside, and terrible Ravens defense aside, would you really trust Dalton in a stage like this? Moreover, can you really trust the Bengals in a game like this despite every bit of evidence from the first two weeks?

Good Luck in Week 3!

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