Wednesday, September 30, 2015

2015 Week 4 Fantasy Advice

Did you have a good Week 3? Plenty of players put in prime performances, including ones that directly affected fantasy outcomes (naturally, the KC WR jinx broke just when I needed Jeremy Maclin to have a bad game, my luck of course), so it was certainly a week to remember. Now with byes coming into play, more shrewd moves are in order.

Byes: NE, TEN

Editor's Note: No players from the PHI/WSH game will be selected here due to the possibility of Hurricane Joaquin affecting the status of the game.

Who to Start:

QB Cam Newton (CAR) vs. TB: Despite not having his best weapon all season (and for the rest of the season), Newton has been very effecting against Jacksonville, Houston and New Orleans thus far. The Bucs pass defense is not formidable at all, so Newton could be in for another big game on Sunday.

RB Latavius Murray (OAK) vs. CHI: He was certainly a bit underrated heading into the season, but he's not underrated anymore. He could rack up some huge numbers against an extremely porous Bears defense which has already started bloodletting after an 0-3 start.

WR Brandon Marshall (NYJ) vs. MIA LONDON: Despite his rather sluggish start to the season (and self proclaimed worst play in NFL history last week), his matchup against the Dolphins at Wembley is very favorable. The Dolphins can't rush the passer and their secondary has been torched by the like of Kirk Cousins, Blake Bortles and Tyrod Taylor this season.

WR T.Y Hilton (IND) vs. JAX: Andrew Luck's offensive line hasn't been a help to him to start the season, but even if he's hit a bunch, Hilton could still have a huge day against the Jaguars. He's already had big successes against them in his career, and the Jags could be starting a UDFA corner at safety due to a rash of injuries.

TE Tyler Eifert (CIN) vs. KC: Someone on ESPN, can't remember who, called Eifert a "mini-Gronk". While I wouldn't go that far, he has been dominant to start the season for the Bengals. Kansas City has not been good at all on defense the last two weeks against good offenses, so his struggles last week could be forgotten.

DEF Arizona vs. STL: This is almost a gimme at this point. They've been scoring at will, and the Rams offense has looked anemic the last two weeks to say the least.

Who to Sit:

QB Matthew Stafford (DET) vs. SEA MON: He's really become a fantasy poison pill at this point, and facing the Seahawks defense in Seattle makes him a must sit. He then faces Arizona afterwords. The Lions could easily start 0-5.

RB Doug Martin (TB) vs. CAR: Combined with Tampa's own running struggles and running back rotation, the Panthers have given up only 195 rushing yards in three games this season. It's a risk to start Martin on Sunday.

WR Alshon Jeffery (CHI) vs. OAK: Jimmy Clausen is throwing passes to him, and the Bears punted on 10 out of 10 drives last week. Enough said.

WR Jarvis Landry (MIA) vs. NYJ LONDON: He's been the PPR player dujour this season, but even in those leagues he's not a wise play against the Jets. Their secondary has been fantastic this season, and Ryan Tannehill didn't look so good against an equally good Bills defense last week.

TE Kyle Rudolph (MIN) vs. DEN: In the "year of the Tight End", Rudolph hasn't been cashing in quite yet. He's been inconsistent to start the season, and he's facing a Broncos defense on Sunday that hasn't given up a TD to a TE yet this season. Teddy Bridgewater's home vs. road splits aren't encouraging either.

DEF Houston vs. ATL: The Texans defense has been decent enough to start this season, but the Falcons offense has been explosive to match. The Texans might still be able to get after Matt Ryan, but they're still facing Julio Jones.

Three Super Sleepers:

QB Andy Dalton (CIN) vs. KC: Did he turn a corner against the Ravens last week? Maybe, but whatever the status of his "eliteness" is, he is a good fantasy play this week against a Chiefs secondary that is increasingly thin and ragged.

RB Chris Johnson (ARZ) vs. STL: Not the other Johnson who I coincidentally have on my fantasy team, the old CJ2K looked to recapture some of that old magic last week with a great game against San Francisco. He could do that again against a sluggish Rams defense.

WR James Jones (GB) vs. SF: He's not really a sleeper, and I don't think the Giants could have ever gotten this kind of performance out of James Jones, but he's almost a must play now. The 49ers defense is abysmal, and Aaron Rodgers is amazing.

Buyer Beware:

QB Ryan Tannehill (MIA) vs. NYJ London: Last week was a giant step back for Tannehill who had a positive start to his 2015 campaign, and it gets no easier against the Jets at Wembley Stadium.

Good luck in Week 4!

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