Thursday, December 20, 2012

2012 Week 16 Fantasy Advice

Happy Championship Week, people! If you're reading this, you're obviously in a championship game, so these picks are the most important ones of the season, and could be making money soon. So, I hope I was of service to you this season, and don't blame me if you lose this week.

Who to Start:

QB Tony Romo (DAL) vs. NO: Romo has been playing nearly flawless football of late, and it should be continuing this week against the Saints, because their defense aside from last week has been just terrible against the pass this season.

RB Stevan Ridley (NE) vs. JAX: Whether he loses carries to Danny Woodhead or not, this is a fantastic matchup for Ridley against one of the worst run defenses in the NFL in Jacksonville. Tom Brady may have very little to do this weekend at this rate.

WR Eric Decker (DEN) vs. CLE: Cleveland has been up and down defending the pass this season, and when you go up against Peyton Manning, you can assume which one of the two is going to happen. Decker had a huge game last week, has a great matchup this week to do that again.

WR Pierre Garcon (WSH) vs. PHI: Even if RG3 doesn't start and KC1 does, the Eagles secondary has been a sieve of late, and that bodes well for Garcon who has 3 TD's over his last 4 games since coming back from injury.

TE Greg Olsen (CAR) vs. OAK: Olsen has been playing very well during Carolina's 3 game winning streak, and Olsen should continue his run of form against the absolutely wretched Oakland defense which has had major struggles at times defending the Tight End.

DEF Indianapolis vs. KC: The Chiefs couldn't score a point against the Raiders last week, or muster a first down until the 3rd quarter. The Colts defense should be in for a fantasy field day.

Who to Sit:

QB Philip Rivers (SD) vs. NYJ: In the matchup of two underachieving former AFC superpowers, Rivers could be in for some major struggles against the side of the ball for the Jets that gets no credit for being solid all season.

RB Beanie Wells (ARZ) vs. CHI: He had a big game last week against the Lions, but this week the Bears come calling, and they've only allowed 4 rushing TD's all season. Beanie should be wearing one on your fantasy bench this week.

WR Steve Johnson (BUF) vs. MIA: This matchup normally might be decent, but Johnson has been very poor in past games against the Dolphins, as he's never had more than 85 yards in any game against them and has never scored a TD against them either.

WR Denarius Moore (OAK) vs. CAR: The Panthers secondary is young, but underrated and under-heralded, and they should be able to shut down Moore and company this Sunday.

TE Vernon Davis (SF) vs. SEA: He has had a very poor fantasy season this year, and going up against the Seahawks defense won't help matters, considering they've allowed the fewest fantasy points to this position this season.

DEF Baltimore vs. NYG: Look at how far the mighty have fallen. In their current 3 game losing streak, the Ravens defense has been pretty terrible, and the Giants offense comes into this game off being shut out, looking for some penance. This doesn't bode well for Baltimore.

3 Super Sleepers:

QB Sam Bradford (STL) vs. TB: He's been quietly putting up big numbers for the Rams over the past couple of weeks, and he goes up against a Bucs defense that has been shredded during their current 4 game losing streak. Bradford is a nice sleeper option.

RB Mikel Leshoure (DET) vs. ATL SAT: The Falcons have struggled to stop the run all season, and Leshoure has been really improving as a runner this season for the Lions. This matchup bodes well if you need a flex option this weekend.

DEF Washington vs. PHI: I know the Redskins defense has been iffy at points this season, but after the recent performances for the Eagles, you can see why the Redskins D is a good fantasy sleeper option this week.

Buyer Beware:

QB Eli Manning (NYG) vs. BAL: I know I recommended to bench the Ravens D in fantasy this week, but that doesn't mean Eli will guaranteed have a big game. He can either be perfectly on point on the road, or perfectly off point, and there's no telling what will happen this week. Start with caution if you must.

Good Luck in Week 16, and have a Merry Christmas if you're celebrating!

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