Wednesday, December 12, 2012

2012 Week 15 Fantasy Advice

We're almost to the end of the season, which is much needed for some people (me), and pushed off by others. Fantasy playoffs are now in full swing, so every single start you make is important. No one is resting anybody this week, so fantasy disaster is not likely. It's still the NFL though.

Who to Start:

QB Josh Freeman (TB) vs. NO: In the first meeting between the 2 NFC South rivals, Freeman threw for 420 yards against the Saints porous secondary. Based on last week, there is no reason to think that Freeman can't do that again.

RB Reggie Bush (MIA) vs. JAX: While he's not been consistent on the stat sheet this season, he's going up against one of the worst rush defenses in the league in Jacksonville, who has just been ripped by the Bills and Jets in consecutive weeks.

WR Marques Colston (NO) vs. TB: This game at the Superdome is going to be a shootout, isn't it? Colston should have a monster game against the Bucs secondary that had trouble defending Nick Foles last week.

WR Steve Smith (CAR) vs. SD: Lost in Carolina's 4-9 season has been the success of long time Panther Steve Smith. He's been hot of late, and he's going up against a Chargers secondary that has allowed a league high 18 TD passes this season.

TE Owen Daniels (HOU) vs. IND: I think Houston smells redemption in the water after being blown out in Foxborough, and the Colts struggle to defend the Tight End. Owen Daniels is going to benefit big time from these facts.

DEF Detroit vs. ARZ: The Cardinals have scored 6 points in their last 2 games and have cycled between 2 horrible QB's during the same time. The Lions D is poor, but they'll have a huge game against the Cardinals here.

Who to Sit:

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (BUF) vs. SEA in TOR: Fitz has been playing better of late, but he's going up against one of the best secondaries in football when he takes the Rogers Centre field on Sunday afternoon. It doesn't look good for the Harvard grad.

RB Michael Turner (ATL) vs. NYG: He's not the same running back as he was in the past, and he might have some major struggles against the Giants rush defense, which has been very stout on the road recently.

WR Larry Fitzgerald (ARZ) vs. DET: You have to sit the poor guy now, based on the way his QB's have been playing. Even though the matchup isn't good or bad, I can't trust him to put up big numbers with the QB production he's had to deal with.

WR Torrey Smith (BAL) vs. DEN: Smith can either have huge fantasy games, or very mediocre ones. The past few games have leaned towards the mediocre category, and the with the Broncos underrated secondary coming in, it's hard to imagine Smith having a big game.

TE Jermichael Finley (GB) vs. CHI: He was held to 26 yards only last time against Chicago in Week 2, and even though his fantasy value shot up after Week 11, it's not going to go well for Finley in Chicago.

DEF San Diego vs. CAR: Cam Newton is on fire right now, and even though the Chargers defense is not the problem area for this team, it's hard to recommend them for a starting role on Sunday.

3 Super Sleepers:

QB Colin Kaepernick (SF) vs. NE: He's been a very decent fantasy option, but regardless of that, he has a decent matchup against the Pats secondary this weekend. Even though they've been playing better, I'm not so sure it will go well for them this time round.

RB Shonn Greene (NYJ) vs. TEN MON: Greene has been splitting carries with Bilal Powell of late, but he had a good game in Jacksonville last weekend, and he should have another one against the possibly porous Titans rush D.

DEF Miami vs. JAX: That Chad Henne scoreboard lighting up in Houston feels like a distant memory now doesn't it? Their offensive line is a shambles, and that could prove to be huge for the Dolphins D.

Buyer Beware:

QB Eli Manning (NYG) vs. ATL: He's had big games of late, but the Falcons D has been stout at home this season, including picking off Peyton 3 times back in Week 2. Eli could be in trouble on the stat sheet this week.

Good Luck in Week 15!

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